Zion Search Capital
Insights

Perspectives on mid-market M&A.

Notes from the founders and the Zion team on origination, execution and LATAM market dynamics.

Global M&A 2025

Recovery concentrated in megadeals.

PwC estimates that aggregate global deal value rose 36% year-over-year in 2025, while transaction volume barely moved (+1%). The rebound was driven by megadeals over USD 5 billion — 111 of them, up from 63 the year before. For a firm focused on tickets between USD 20M and USD 120M, the reading is clear: the market did not disappear; it became more demanding, more dependent on financing, and more sensitive to asset quality.

+0%

Global deal value

+0%

Global volume

0

Megadeals >USD 5bn

Source · PwC Global M&A Industry Trends 2026

Premium for preparation

The size premium is back to 2.8x EBITDA.

In the lower middle market, scale and preparation increasingly determine whether a deal closes — and at what multiple. Our thesis is built precisely on this gap. GF Data tracks PE-sponsored transactions in the USD 10–500M enterprise value range. In the first nine months of 2025, platforms between USD 100M and USD 500M traded at 9.8x EBITDA. Sub-USD 100M platforms traded at 7.0x. The size premium widened back to 2.8x. Prepared assets capture the premium. Unprepared ones absorb the discount.

6.5x

< USD 25M

7.0x

USD 25–100M

9.8x

USD 100–500M

The gap

0.0x

EBITDA premium between sub-USD 100M and USD 100–500M platforms.

Source · GF Data — 9M 2025

LATAM 2025

LATAM rebounded — but not as one market.

3,061 transactions and USD 119.8bn in 2025. Each focus country plays a different role: Chile concentrates density; Mexico concentrates scale; Peru anchors the resource thesis; Argentina offers selective upside.

0

LATAM transactions 2025

0bn USD

Aggregate value

+0%

YoY growth in deal value

Source · TTR Data — Annual LATAM Report 2025

The messy middle gap

The messy middle market is underserved.

Companies in the USD 20–120M segment fall in a structural gap: too small for global investment banks, too complex for purely local advisors, and rarely prepared for a competitive process. This is exactly where Zion plays.

Access

No path to global capital

Local advisors lack relationships with PE, family offices and strategic buyers outside the region. The buyer universe stays narrow — and so do the outcomes.

Readiness

Assets not built to sell

Most mid-market companies lack equity story, clean reporting, and quality of earnings. The deal that should close at premium ends up discounted — or not closing.

Execution

Slow, generic processes

Cookie-cutter banker workflows, weak buyer mapping, and amateur structuring create suboptimal exits — and leave value on the table for founders.

LATAM execution model

Each country plays a distinct role.

We don't treat LATAM as a single market. Each focus country has a specific function in origination, execution and monetization — and we allocate effort accordingly.

Chile

45%

Trust hub & execution base

Mining, energy, software, consumer

Operational HQ · pipeline density · stable governance

Mexico

25%

Scale & monetization engine

Software, consumer, finserv, logistics

Largest market by deal value · strategic & PE buyer concentration

Peru

15%

Natural adjacency in resources

Mining, infra, real estate, water/environmental

Resource thesis · logical extension from Santiago

Argentina

15%

Selective high-upside coverage

Energy, oil & gas, lithium, agribusiness

Macro reform unlocking dealflow · selective mandates

LATAM 2025 detail
CountryDealsValue (USDbn)YoY VolumeYoY Value
Chile3386.7−12%−53%
Mexico30732.5−17%+86%
Peru1674.4−9%−15%
Argentina2496.9+0.4%−36%

Source · TTR Data — Annual LATAM transactional reports 2025

Sector focus

Where dealflow, demand and premium converge.

Specialization wins. Generalists discount. We focus on sectors where strategic interest, buyer competition, and dealflow density are structurally strong across LATAM.

  • 01

    Technology & SaaS

    Vertical software and IT services in Chile and Mexico — strongest buyer universe and AI tailwind.

  • 02

    Fintech

    Digital infrastructure, payments, wealth and lending — global investor appetite, regional consolidation.

  • 03

    Healthcare

    Clinical diagnostics, biotech, services — premium multiples for assets with regional scale.

  • 04

    eCommerce

    Marketplaces, brands, and enabling infrastructure — selective, but high-quality assets command premium.

  • 05

    Supply Chain & Logistics

    Industrial, logistics, nearshoring beneficiaries — tied to the recovery in trade.

Notes

Team notes.

Short reads on transactions, sectors and LATAM mid-market dynamics.

Coming soon.

We're preparing the first publications. Check back soon.